So much for Madden jinxes....
Congrats to Calvin Johnson on breaking my favorite wide receiver's receiving yards in a season - surprised Jerry Rice's record hasn't been broken with how pass-friendly the league has gotten. The only suspense left with him is whether he will get 2,000 yards (needs 108 yards), which with how he has been playing (and how little Detroit has to play for), doesn't seem all that suspenseful. I see him blowing by this record and getting up to about 2,050 yards, setting a record that he (and he alone) will have fun trying to chase for the next 5-10 years.
Also a big congrats to Adrian Peterson, who is within sniffing range of the rushing record thanks to his 212 yard performance in Week 15. He needs 294 yards in his last two games (against Houston & Green Bay) to top Eric Dickerson's 2105 yards, a record set almost 30 years ago. I'd love to see him get it - as far as watching RBs go, Peterson is probably my favorite one to watch (except when he's facing the Niners).
Anywho, onto Week 16 Picks:
Jax +14.5, Phil +6.5, Dal -2.5, SF +1.5
Considering: Ten +12.5, Min +7.5, Cin/Pitt Under 41.5
Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year
Showing posts with label calvin johnson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label calvin johnson. Show all posts
12/15/2012
Week 15 NFL & Y2K update for AP & Megatron
To those that enjoy my writings (sports, gambling, life), I apologize for not writing as much lately. I'll try starting up more in 2013.
An update from last week's blog
Countdown to Y2K - 3 games left:
Adrian Peterson
Season: 1600 yards, 265 carries (6.0 yards/carry), 10 TDs
Last week: 31 carries, 154 yards
Last week: 31 carries, 154 yards
Needs: 400 yards in 3 games (133.3/game)
Opponents: at St. Louis (allows /game), at Houston ( /game), vs. Green Bay ( /game)
Will he get 2K yards? Yes, 2022
Calvin Johnson
Season: 96 catches, 1546 yards (16.1/catch), 5 TDs
Last Week: 10 catches, 118 yards
Needs: 454 yards in 3 games (151.3/game)
Opponents: at Arizona (allows 197 passing yards/game), vs. Atlanta (234/game), vs Chicago (205/game)
Will he get 2K yards? No, just short, 1944
Onward to Week 15...
Atl -1.5 - Falcons not getting the respect they should at home. The Giants' road reputation is part of this line. Atlanta was sleepwalking through the Carolina game and got the wake-up call they needed before the playoffs.
Balt +3 - I know Peyton has been leading the Broncos to their highest levels since Elway, but a letdown is inevitable. Flacco plays well at home. Without Cam Cameron as their offensive coordinator, I expect the Ravens to unleash Ray Rice to his full potential.
Ariz +6.5 - Arizona got waxed last week. Detroit lost their fifth straight, but not as bad as the Cardinals did. This play is pure motivation - Arizona has the only motivation in this game (eager to bounce back from such a shellacking). Meanwhile, the Lions were expected to contend for the playoffs and are long past that goal. It's easy to get up for a road night game against the Packers - I doubt their focus will be as sharp (as if their focus has been sharp to begin with) as Arizona's.
Buf +4.5 - Seattle's best game was last week - they could do nothing wrong. However, they are not the same team on the road. Even though this is technically not Buffalo's stadium (more of a neutral site game), the NFL and I consider it a Seattle road game. A letdown is coming, especially with a big matchup against the Niners coming up next week.
Considering...Houston -10, KC +3, SF +4.5/5
12/07/2012
Yards 2K: Megatron & All-Day Approaching Two Grand Yards - Plus Week 14 NFL
If you pay close attention to the total yards of certain players, odds are you probably have them as a starter in your fantasy league.
I, however, own neither Calvin Johnson nor Adrian Peterson in any of my leagues, although I did try to make a trade for AP in my keeper league. I didn't get the owner to pull the trigger on the deal (thanks a lot Craig), but that hasn't stopped me from paying attention to what he has been doing following his torn ACL & MCL almost 12 months ago.
An injury that usually takes a season or two to shake some rust & rehab, Peterson is having the best season of his career (234 carries, 1446 yards, 8 touchdowns). His average of 6.2 yards per carry is higher than his quarterback Christian Ponder's average yards per attempt (6.0), which is amazing. If he is to average this pace the rest of the year (120.5 yards/game), we're looking at 1928 yards - so to say he could get 2,000 yards isn't out of the question.
In regards to Calvin Johnson, his stats have been just as gaudy. Megatron has 86 catches for 1428 yards (119 yards/game) and 5 touchdowns. Funny - a lot of annoying fantasy owners were complaining that he was having a bad season about five or six weeks back. If Calvin continues his pace, he will set an NFL-record at 1904 yards (Jerry Rice got 1848 yards in 1995). Again, he has a good chance of 2000 this year, especially with how bad the Lions' season is going and this will likely be the only thing they'll have to play for. (The same can be said for Adrian if the Vikings continue to fade out).
The question is - if both guys reach the mark, whose 2K season would be more impressive? A case can be made for both - Adrian having a career year after suffering his terrible CL injuries and running this well despite teams being able to key in on him since the Vikings have an average QB.
However, if you make me choose between the two, I'd go with Megatron's season. Anytime you break an NFL record, I think that has to be considered a tiebreaker that decides all tiebreakers. Either way though, all those numbers will result in no playoff appearances - unless of course you're owning these guys in fantasy football. In that case, good luck this week.
I say Peterson runs for 130 yards and a TD and Calvin goes for 125 and a TD against the Packers.
Other Week 14 Predictions
Min +3 vs. Chicago - Minnesota got crushed by the Bears a few weeks back, but I'm really high on them this week. I think the Bears have peaked this year - they've lost 3 of 4 (all to likely playoff teams) ever since their miraculous defensive TD onslaught dried out. I think you'll see a heavy dose of Peterson, about 30 carries - 24-17 Vikings - they don't need Harvin here.
NE -3.5 vs. Houston - This is as balanced as NE has been in a while - great passing game as always, solid running game and an opportunistic defense this year (24 turnovers forced, best in the league). I think Houston will lose some of their edge given their 11-1 record, and they haven't played as good lately as their record would indicate. I'll take New England here 30-17.
Other Potential Bets:
Ten +5.5, Buf -3, Dal +3
Good luck this week in your fantasy playoffs and good luck to your teams this week.
I, however, own neither Calvin Johnson nor Adrian Peterson in any of my leagues, although I did try to make a trade for AP in my keeper league. I didn't get the owner to pull the trigger on the deal (thanks a lot Craig), but that hasn't stopped me from paying attention to what he has been doing following his torn ACL & MCL almost 12 months ago.
An injury that usually takes a season or two to shake some rust & rehab, Peterson is having the best season of his career (234 carries, 1446 yards, 8 touchdowns). His average of 6.2 yards per carry is higher than his quarterback Christian Ponder's average yards per attempt (6.0), which is amazing. If he is to average this pace the rest of the year (120.5 yards/game), we're looking at 1928 yards - so to say he could get 2,000 yards isn't out of the question.
In regards to Calvin Johnson, his stats have been just as gaudy. Megatron has 86 catches for 1428 yards (119 yards/game) and 5 touchdowns. Funny - a lot of annoying fantasy owners were complaining that he was having a bad season about five or six weeks back. If Calvin continues his pace, he will set an NFL-record at 1904 yards (Jerry Rice got 1848 yards in 1995). Again, he has a good chance of 2000 this year, especially with how bad the Lions' season is going and this will likely be the only thing they'll have to play for. (The same can be said for Adrian if the Vikings continue to fade out).
The question is - if both guys reach the mark, whose 2K season would be more impressive? A case can be made for both - Adrian having a career year after suffering his terrible CL injuries and running this well despite teams being able to key in on him since the Vikings have an average QB.
However, if you make me choose between the two, I'd go with Megatron's season. Anytime you break an NFL record, I think that has to be considered a tiebreaker that decides all tiebreakers. Either way though, all those numbers will result in no playoff appearances - unless of course you're owning these guys in fantasy football. In that case, good luck this week.
I say Peterson runs for 130 yards and a TD and Calvin goes for 125 and a TD against the Packers.
Other Week 14 Predictions
Min +3 vs. Chicago - Minnesota got crushed by the Bears a few weeks back, but I'm really high on them this week. I think the Bears have peaked this year - they've lost 3 of 4 (all to likely playoff teams) ever since their miraculous defensive TD onslaught dried out. I think you'll see a heavy dose of Peterson, about 30 carries - 24-17 Vikings - they don't need Harvin here.
NE -3.5 vs. Houston - This is as balanced as NE has been in a while - great passing game as always, solid running game and an opportunistic defense this year (24 turnovers forced, best in the league). I think Houston will lose some of their edge given their 11-1 record, and they haven't played as good lately as their record would indicate. I'll take New England here 30-17.
Other Potential Bets:
Ten +5.5, Buf -3, Dal +3
Good luck this week in your fantasy playoffs and good luck to your teams this week.
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