12/15/2012

Week 15 NFL & Y2K update for AP & Megatron

To those that enjoy my writings (sports, gambling, life), I apologize for not writing as much lately. I'll try starting up more in 2013.

An update from last week's blog

Countdown to Y2K - 3 games left:

Adrian Peterson
Season: 1600 yards, 265 carries (6.0 yards/carry), 10 TDs
Last week: 31 carries, 154 yards
Needs: 400 yards in 3 games (133.3/game)
Opponents: at St. Louis (allows /game), at Houston ( /game), vs. Green Bay ( /game)
Will he get 2K yards? Yes, 2022

Calvin Johnson
Season: 96 catches, 1546 yards (16.1/catch), 5 TDs
Last Week: 10 catches, 118 yards
Needs: 454 yards in 3 games (151.3/game)
Opponents: at Arizona (allows 197 passing yards/game), vs. Atlanta (234/game), vs Chicago (205/game)
Will he get 2K yards? No, just short, 1944

Onward to Week 15...

Bets for Sunday:

Atl -1.5 - Falcons not getting the respect they should at home. The Giants' road reputation is part of this line. Atlanta was sleepwalking through the Carolina game and got the wake-up call they needed before the playoffs.

Balt +3 - I know Peyton has been leading the Broncos to their highest levels since Elway, but a letdown is inevitable. Flacco plays well at home. Without Cam Cameron as their offensive coordinator, I expect the Ravens to unleash Ray Rice to his full potential.

Ariz +6.5 - Arizona got waxed last week. Detroit lost their fifth straight, but not as bad as the Cardinals did. This play is pure motivation - Arizona has the only motivation in this game (eager to bounce back from such a shellacking). Meanwhile, the Lions were expected to contend for the playoffs and are long past that goal. It's easy to get up for a road night game against the Packers - I doubt their focus will be as sharp (as if their focus has been sharp to begin with) as Arizona's.

Buf +4.5 - Seattle's best game was last week - they could do nothing wrong. However, they are not the same team on the road. Even though this is technically not Buffalo's stadium (more of a neutral site game), the NFL and I consider it a Seattle road game. A letdown is coming, especially with a big matchup against the Niners coming up next week.

Considering...Houston -10, KC +3, SF +4.5/5