Quick write-up for week 9 of NFL, since I neglected it last week.
NFL last week: 1-1, +$34
NFL YTD: 23-18, +$204
Picks as always in bold:
NYJ at Detroit (+4.5): Detroit has been a covering darling this year, going 6-1 against the spread so far this year despite its 2-5 record. This basically means that the public/oddsmakers have underestimated them. At first, I looked at this as a NYJ cover, but I believe it to be a trap line that falls right into the Lions' lap. Everyone and their mother is expecting NYJ to bounce back and avenge their shitty loss to the Packers. I hope I get this line at +5 because of this, but I'll gladly take 4.5.
Cleveland/NE (under 43.5): Cleveland has played competitively this year for the most part, holding leads in just about every game they've played this year (often into the 2nd half). The main reasons for that: improved defense and a steady back in Peyton Hillis. With McCoy behind center again, expect Cle to run Hillis about 25 times against NE. Likewise, I think NE is adjusting nicely to their no-Moss lineup, featuring the run and short passes a lot more. This game seems like one that will be in the mid 30s in terms of score based on the aforementioned facts.
Indy at Phil (-2.5): Fool me once, shame on the Colts....fool me twice....well....you can't fool me twice. At least I hope not. I love Phil in this spot with a week off to restore health, including that of Mike Vick. Vick opens up the running game, which Indy has notoriously struggled with for the past X amount of years. I expect McCoy to have a big day and the Eagles to win by at least a touchdown. This pick is further redeemed by Joe Public backing Indy to no end. As you know, the past couple years I have developed a severe anti-Joe Public betting style, which has served me more right than wrong.
Let's ride the gravy train towards profits for the 2nd day in a row. My perfect day yesterday restored my faith in my betting.
I would like yesterday to be the epitome of where the rest of my year goes, at least the latter half of the day with the winning bets and the lasting memories of Mike and Catie's wedding.
Get'er done.
