A case of the Mon(ey)days

Jacksonville Jaguars 2010 Media Guide

Wow, well that bet was the epitome of sucktitude. I hope no one else outside of me, Wolf and Biggie Smalls lost dough on that terrible excuse for a football game. No wonder why no one goes to Jacksonville to watch games- down 20 points with 10 minutes left, so lets do running plays that net us 3-4 yards 7 times in a row. Great idea Jack del Dip Shit. Glad I didn't double up my misery by betting against Lee- that would have been a huge mistake. First losing day in 3 weeks- I guess I was due for one of those. I think I need a few days off and chillax from the sports scene. Brain is fried from crunching numbers and whatnot.

Jacksonville is another reason to hate Florida- to go back to the America's Wang blog. Eff the Jaguars.

Sunday Evening QB - Week 6 and a look-ahead

Another day, more dollars, 2-1 NFL (+$54), another MLB victory. Only losing bet was betting against my boys (I'd make that bet every time considering the circumstances), no regrets on it. San Fran has some winnable games ahead on its schedule, but that's been the broken record statement of the year. They open as a field goal road favorite at Carolina, which actually looks like a good bet for next week. The biggest Week 7 favorites are fittingly Balt and NO, laying two touchdowns as home favorites versus Buffalo and Cleveland, respectively.

Monday's winning bet:

Tennessee/Jacksonville - Over 45...Jacksonville has allowed 28, 28, 28 and 26 points in the past 4 weeks (latter two were victories). And while everyone associates Jacksonville with Maurice Jones-Drew, David Garrard is on pace for a career year, already halfway to his career-high 18 touchdown passes only 5 games into the year. I expect him to find his favorite target Marcedes Lewis at least once on his way to a 2-3 TD Monday night performance.

With Tennessee, there will be no surprises- give Chris Johnson the damn ball and let him do his thing. While Vince Young hasn't led a very efficient passing attack, I expect him to get about 200 yards passing and 2 TDs - 1 to his favorite target Kenny Britt, as Jacksonville's D (like Ten's) ranks near the bottom in passing defense.

Both of these teams are playing in their lone appearance under the Monday night lights, so that should only add to the offensive fireworks. There's no question that influences some players- playing on the night where everyone is watching. I expect this score to end up in the mid 50s: I'll say 30-24 Jacksonville. I'll make that like my other bets this week - to win $60. I am debating betting on the Yanks as a small underdog against Cliff Lee, but I'm leaning towards passing on that and rooting on the Yanks anyways.

Let's keep this money train rolling. I have at least one follower now given my recent run. Feel free to let me know if you're using any of these posts to your betting advantage (or if you are disagreeing with my picks and betting against them).

Peace my brothers and sisters.

My dog's breath is making my nostrils peel

I'm trying to get my NFL picks together and all I can smell is my dog's rank ass breath, so if my picks suck this week, I'm gonna blame the dog.

Last week: 3-3, -$4; YTD: 17-12, $197 in NFL.

Week 6 picks, with pick in ( ):

San Diego at St. Louis (+8.5): Still trying to figure out this line. SD is 0-3 on the road, St. Louis 2-1 at home, and you're giving a score+ total to the home team? This is my favorite line of the week. StL will definitely cover and may even win.

Detroit (+10) at NYG: Detroit has been quite respectable on the road this year, losing by 5, 14 and 2 (unlike year's past where they would lose consistently by 20+ points. This seems like the perfect spot for an NYG let down- their past two games have been amazing defensive performances. There's something about Eli that I don't like or trust in this spot. I say Det keeps this close and loses by 3-4.

Oakland (+6.5) at SF: Again, not sure why an 0-5 team is spotting 6.5 points to anyone. Bush proved to be just as good of an option as McFadden, and I expect them to pound the rock some more. SF is due for a win soon, but I could very well see an upset here from Oakland, if you wanna call it an upset.


Those are the bets for now. Also got SF Giants tonight in my efforts to go 8-0 in postseason betting.

Let's keep the gravy train rolling, my dogs rank ass breath be damned.

Head-lines, lines in head

Ride the chalk this week, says sports prognosticator/future plus-sized model Brian Bolek

Lines are always stuck in my head from different facets of life. Every now and then, a good lyric gets stuck in my head. There's lines that people may say to me that become entrapped in my consciousness. And of course, in the fall months of the year, I always have monetary Vegas football lines processing in order to get easy money. In both cases, perspective is needed in order to analyze said lines to see what to make out of them.

Now that I've wasted your time with that opening paragraph, here's the lines that have been trapped in my head and what I will be betting Saturday.

NCAA (last week: processed bets (1-1, $5), YTD: (12-8-1, $136))

Bets in ( ), all $55 to win $50

Illinois at Mich St (-7): I've been battling making this bet because I am fading my homeboys, but I'm in the business of making money, not making friends with school boosters. All signs point to a let-down on MSU's part after convincing wins against Wisconsin and Michigan, which is why this line is at -7 and not -9.5 or 10 in my opinion. However, the same can be said of Illinois and their first straight-up win at Happy Valley last weekend. If you asked any Illini fan if they would take a 1-2 run with this team with consecutive games against Ohio State, Penn State and Michigan State, I think we'd gladly take it. Illinois is improved and I believe they will get the six wins necessary to get into a mediocre bowl, but I think they take one on the chin this week against a more talented team. Mich St by 14.

Iowa (-3) at Michigan: So I've been told Denard Robinson gave a passionate Tebow-like speech after the UM loss to their little brother MSU. That's great and all, but like my last week's post stated, I don't think speeches can knock down passes and prevent runners from getting into the end zone. When they do, we might be onto a new wave of sports strategy. Iowa is a great value here, especially coming off of a bye. Iowa by 10-14. Let the second-half of season panicking begin again for Ann Arbor.

Texas at Nebraska (-9.5/10): Nebraska is the best team in the Big 12, sorry Oklahoma. Unlike last year, they have an offense that compliments a world-class defense. Texas is definitely in a state of recession as far as their program goes, at least for a year. Texas is coming off of a bye, but that's nearly negated by the 9 day lay-off Nebraska has had since whomping Kansas State on a Thursday night road game. Lay the points.

Normally I don't ride the chalk this hard, but these lines got my attention the most. Any line that catches your attention deserves scrutiny, but trust your instincts.

Ride chalk this week and ride them hard. Like a spry 18-year old on prom night.

Also, riding the Yanks tonight against the Rangers tonight to win $40. Let's continue the perfect streak and make it a 7-0 start to MLB playoffs.

NFL without a fantasy

Wish I could take credit for this graph...well done.

So you're sitting there on your computer on a Sunday afternoon, trying to figure out how you can win all 5 of your fantasy football games with you having conflicting players to root for/against across the slate of games. I know many people who are like this, me being one of them (at least in a normal year, I've avoided it this year by going out for games and having a shitty phone that doesn't update scores). Fantasy football has become such a phenomenon, bringing people who have absolutely no knowledge of football and providing them an opportunity to play general manager against 9 or 11 of their closest friends/co-workers/random people and see who can create the highest scoring team on a week to week basis. I myself am in 4 money leagues, with a total of $400 invested among those 4 leagues; I'm even in 3 non-money leagues for the purposes of pride and wanting to destroy all my friends from different walks of life in something I consider myself good at. With all of these leagues, I probably own about half of the NFL collectively, so odds are, a few of my teams will win, a few will lose: (so far, 19-11 in the 6 head to head leagues and 1st place in my points league, so not too shabby).

So all of this begs the question: where would the NFL be without fantasy football? It'd still exist, sure. At one point in time, the main reason a good chunk of people watched games was for gambling purposes- that reason for watching will never completely die, as there will always be a Vegas book overflowing with gambling novices that are more than happy to donate their money to the Vegas fund. So it wouldn't die without fantasy, but I know the common man wouldn't be as interested, which would definitely lead to less TV ratings and thus, less revenue for the league. While the NFL didn't need fantasy football back in the day, the 2000s version of pro football definitely does need it. It'll be interesting to see in 20 years what the next thing that NFL will need to satisfy fan interest, or if betting and fantasy football will continue to drive ratings and interest for the foreseeable future.

I could live off of the gambling aspect of football, but if you take away both that AND fantasy, I might be hard pressed to be as interested in it as I am. In fact, I guarantee I wouldn't be...would you? I sure as hell doubt it. If you're a football fanatic like me, I'm willing to bet (pun intended) that you are in (a) 1 or more fantasy football leagues, (b) a gambler or someone who is in a pool of some sort that involves money, or (c) all of the above. Good luck being as interested without those two aspects- you just can't do it. Cannot play with them, cannot win with them, cannot coach with them, can't do it.

Tough shit

Big girls don't cry, but petite ones who hire hitmen do.

Everyone hates hearing these words, especially when down in the dumps about something. It can be a personal problem that no one wants to hear about, or in my case, a bet gone awry (Jets decided to stop playing defense after two downs in the 2nd half, resulting in a loss of my under bet). Some might say, man, that sucks, sorry that happened. When I hear that, the pessimist in me hears the words "Tough shit". No one really cares about your downfalls or losses, I sometimes think in situations like that.

Then again, I can't really complain when in reality, things are still up, I'm breathing, and tomorrow's a new day in every aspect. I haven't had a losing gambling day in over 2 weeks. 17-12 in NFL through Week 5, has to be some kind of record for me. Week 6 leans should come earlier in the week than usual (I looooove St Louis and Oakland with their respective lines against San Diego and San Fran right now).

Let's get'er done tomorrow with a Texas victory against Tampa and continue the positive gambling streak for another day. Also continue the positive karma that life's bringing in general.

week 5, ending

Good evening my limited followers,

Not sure why it's limited, since my picks are more gold than 1849 California. Do you need any more reason to win money? Had another profit day. Here's another chance to follow me and make some money:

Under in Min/NYJ game

All the attention on this game is on Randy Moss and his effect on the offense. He will have some effect on the offense, but moreso opening lanes for Harvin. Moss's true impact will be when Rice comes back. I predict Minn will be battling Chi for a wild card spot towards the end of the year w/ the Vikes offense being the X factor.

Jets and Vikes are running teams, which means clock runs, which means less scoring. Both teams have good Ds as well, so I expect a score in the low 30s, like 20-13. Don't buy into the Moss trade. Take the under.

NFL record: 17-11, $241 profit. This bet will be $55 to win 50.

Let's make some moolah.