10/24/2010

I'm Charlie Murphy bitch/Week 7 pickickicks

Eddie Murphy- Quit fucking around and come back to your raunchy hysterical stand-up.

I need to sleep more...but sleep is for the weak. I'm watching Charlie Murphy right now- sadly he is the best Murphy (ok, maybe the only one) doing stand-up right now. His best work was with Chappelle, especially the Prince skit. We need the 80s Eddie Murphy to return back for one more epic show and let today's generation know what they were missing when Raw was made.

Anyways, I digress.

Picks for Sunday, with chosen lines highlighed in bolded ( ):

Last week, including MNF: 2-2 (-$12)
NFL Year to date: 19-14, +$185

Cincy at Atlanta (-3.5): I projected this line a lot higher (-5) than it started at, and now I'm seeing Atlanta down to -3 at some online books. Philly made Atlanta their beotch last week, but that's bound to happen every now and then on the road, especially when they've played an unbalanced 4 road games (2-2 record) vs. 2 home games (both wins). Cincy hasn't done a ton to impress me so far aside from surviving an offensive struggle vs. Baltimore. Palmer has been hit or miss this year. I'll go with my gut and say he misses this week. Only thing that worries me here is Cincy coming off of a bye, but I think the home cooking treats Atlanta right. Atlanta 28-17.

Washington (+3) at Chicago: Let the Jay Cutler concussion watch continue. Washington has knocked out a few players the past couple weeks (Dallas Clark last week, Finley & Rodgers the week before, among others) and very well could add Jay-walker to that list. Martz says they should have ran it more last week and will probably say the same thing again this week when he has another week of 70%+ passing. The only way Chi wins this week is on special teams. Wash has played tough in just about every game this year, either winning or being within 3 points of doing so in 5 of 6 games this year. I say McNabb leads them to a straight-up win, 21-17.

Cleveland (+13) at New Orleans: Looks like a similar spot as a few weeks ago when NO was spotting a similar amount against a team with a rookie QB and an offense whose strength is around the running game. NO won their first game ATS last week with a convincing win against Tampa, but Tampa has no run game (or didn't have much else) to compete with NO. Cleveland has competed and had a chance to win every game they played except last week, when they failed to cover the same spread as this week when Big Ben (fuck him, I'm calling him this even as he says he doesn't wanna call him that- when you can't control your wanker and get NFL suspension because of it, you don't get to tell us what to call you) threw a late TD pass to lead to the cover. This looks like a 24-17 game for NO.

StL at Tampa (-3): Tampa is coming off a rough home loss to the team highlighted above (NO). StL is 3-3, coming off an upset victory over San Diego (as highlighted here in the B-Blog). So why the Tampa pick here? Tampa is a lot better than they showed themselves to be last week. If not this week, I see them featuring LaGarrette Blount at running back very soon. Dude would have been a solid draft pick if not for his incident against Boise to open last year's college season. Meanwhile, St. Louis has laid a few turds on the road this year against Oakland and St Louis (covering against the former, destroyed against the latter). I think the Bucs continue this trend and win by 7-10, let's say 24-14.

New England at San Diego (-2.5): Note to gamblers- when 9 out of 10 of your friends just absolutely love a certain line, you're probably better off picking the brain of that 1 person who sees something different than what the 9 others believe. This line has the NE lovers coming out in full-bloom, much like we did (yes, I say we cuz I bet NE) when they faced NYJ in week 2 following a less than impressive opener against Baltimore while NE beat down on Cincy. We all know what happened to NE that game. I wouldn't be surprised to see a similar outcome this week with the Pats going west facing a team that is the epitome of Two Face. Terrible on the road, great at home. Granted, those two home wins were against Jax and Ariz, but it's easy to forget about SD having the top offense and defense in terms of yardage when their special teams have been terrible to say the least. People are worried about SD's injuries, but with Gates playing, that's all I need to know. Rivers will make the most out of those around him (I'm talking to you Patrick Crayton) and lead SD to a much needed win.


And as I close this post, Chappelle Show closes my night. What a great ending to a night.

Let's get back to some winning this week.