Week 10 Picks Go Here

Week 10 Picks (So Far)

Min ML (+105) - (1.2 to win 1.26) - W (+1.26)
Green Bay +1.5 - (1.07 to win 1.0) & ML (+109) - (0.5 to win 0.545) - L (-1.57)
Baltimore ML (+105) - (2.0 to win 2.1) - W (+2.10)
Carolina +6.5 - (1.65 to win 1.5) - W (+1.50)
San Diego +7 - (2.2 to win 2.0) - L (-2.20)
Dallas +6.5 - (2.1 to win 2.0) - L (-2.10)
Mia/TB Under 40.5 (0.848/0.8 & Under 37.5 (0.5/0.61) & Under 34.5 (0.4/0.696) & Under 30.5 (0.3/0.927) - L (-2.048)

Week Results - 3-4, -3.058

*Note - when making two different bets on same team, I will treat it as one win or one loss, unless the results split. Whether you agree with this or not should not matter any. The units won/lost is the important thing. 

Week 1: (6-3, +4.14)

Week 2: (4-4, +0.582)

Week 3: (3-3, +0.212)

Week 4: (7-4, +2.955)

Week 5: (4-5, -2.595)

Week 6: (6-4, +2.555)

Week 7: (4-5, +0.32)

Week 8: (5-4, +3.47)

Week 9:  (7-2, +8.39)
Week 10:  (3-4, -3.058)

YTD: (49-38, +16.971)

Week 10 Match-Ups by the Numbers

As many of you who read this know, I like to look at yards/play stats & number of plays to see if there's any advantages on the sides or totals of games. All numbers gathered from pro-football-reference.com:

YPP = yards/pass; YPC = yards/carry


Washington (-2.5) at Minnesota (Thurs Night)

Wash O: 5.9 yards/play (6.5 YPP/5.0 YPC); 69.5 plays/game; 2 TOs/game
Min D: 5.5 yards/play (6.7 YPP/3.8 YPC); 71.3 plays/game; 1.8 TOs/game

Min O: 5.2 yards/play (5.5 YPP/4.8 YPC); 60.8 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
Wash D: 6.1 yards/play (7.3 YPP/4.4 YPC); 65.4 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game


Jacksonville at Tennessee (-11.5)

Jax O: 4.5 yards/play (worst) (5.3 YPP/3.0 YPC); 63.9 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game
Ten D: 5.3 yards/play (6.1 YPP/4.4 YPC); 64 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game

Ten O: 5.1 yards/play (5.9 YPP/4.1 YPC); 62.4 plays/game; 1.1 TOs/game
Jax D: 6.0 yards/play (7.2 YPP/4.8 YPC); 65.6 plays/game; 1.0 TOs/game


Philadelphia at Green Bay (-1.5)

Phil O: 6.2 yards/play (7.2 YPP/5 YPC); 66.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
GB D: 5.5 yards/play (6.5 YPP/4 YPC); 62.5 plays/game; 0.9 TOs/game

GB O: 6.4 yards/play (T-best) (7.5 YPP/5 YPC); 66 plays/game; 1.3 TOs/game
Phil D: 5.6 yards/play (6.5 YPP/4.1 YPC); 74.7 plays/game; 1.7 TOs/game


Buffalo at Pittsburgh (-3)

Buf O: 4.8 yards/play (5.3 YPP/4.3 YPC); 71.4 plays/game; 1.8 TOs/game
Pit D: 5.4 yards/play (6.6 YPP/4.2 YPC); 62.6 plays/game; 0.8 TOs/game

Pit O: 5.4 yards/play (6.3 YPP/3.5 YPC); 63.5 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
Buf D: 5.2 yards/play (6.1 YPP/3.9 YPC); 69.9 plays/game; 1.7 TOs/game


Oakland at NY Giants (-7.5)

Oak O: 5.3 yards/play (5.7 YPP/5.0 YPC); 64.6 plays/game; 1.8 TOs/game
NYG D: 4.9 yards/play (5.8 YPP/3.6 YPC); 69.8 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game

NYG O: 5.2 yards/play (6.3 YPP/3.2 YPC); 63.3 plays/game; 3.1 TOs/game
Oak D: 5.6 yards/play (6.8 YPP/3.8 YPC); 63.5 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game


St. Louis at Indianapolis (-9.5)

StL O: 4.8 yards/play (5.5 YPP/3.8 YPC); 64.3 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
Ind D: 5.7 yards/play (6.7 YPP/4.4 YPC); 64.5 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game

Ind O: 5.5 yards/play (6.1 YPP/4.6 YPC); 62.4 plays/game; 0.8 TOs/game
StL D: 5.7 yards/play (6.9 YPP/4.4 YPC); 60.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game


Seattle (-6.5) at Atlanta

Sea O: 5.6 yards/play (6.8 YPP/4.6 YPC); 61.6 plays/game; 1.7 TOs/game
Atl D: 5.8 yards/play (6.8 YPP/4.5 YPC); 62.4 plays/game; 1.0 TOs/game

Atl O: 5.7 yards/play (6.7 YPP/3.5 YPC); 62 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game
Sea D: 4.6 yards/play (2nd) (5.0 YPP/4.2 YPC); 63.7 plays/game; 2.3 TOs/game


Cincinnati (-1.5) at Baltimore

Cin O: 5.6 yards/play (7.0 YPP/3.7 YPC); 67.8 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game
Bal D: 5.3 yards/play (6.5 YPP/3.7 YPC); 64.4 plays/game; 1.3 TOs/game

Bal O: 4.8 yards/play (6.0 YPP/2.8 YPC - worst); 67.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
Cin D: 4.9 yards/play (5.5 YPP/4.0 YPC); 66.1 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game


Carolina at San Francisco (-6.5)

Car O: 5.1 yards/play (6.2 YPP/4.0 YPC); 65.3 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
SF D: 5.0 yards/play (5.7 YPP/3.9 YPC); 65.1 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game

SF O: 5.7 yards/play (7.1 YPP/4.5 YPC); 60.5 plays/game; 1.5 TOs/game
Car D: 5.0 yards/play (5.8 YPP/3.7 YPC); 59.6 plays/game; 2.4 TOs/game


Houston at Arizona (-2.5)

Hou O: 5.5 yards/play (6.3 YPP/4.5 YPC); 71 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game
Ari D: 5.0 yards/play (5.9 YPP/3.5 YPC); 68.4 plays/game; 2.4 TOs/game

Ari O: 5.1 yards/play (5.8 YPP/4.0 YPC); 61.5 plays/game; 2.3 TOs/game
Hou D: 4.8 yards/play (5.5 YPP/4.2 YPC); 56.5 plays/game; 0.6 TOs/game


Denver (-7) at San Diego

Den O: 6.4 yards/play (T-best) (8.3 YPP/3.7 YPC); 72.6 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
SD D: 6.4 yards/play (worst) (7.4 YPP/4.9 YPC); 61.4 plays/game; 0.6 TOs/game

SD O: 6.2 yards/play (7.8 YPP/3.8 YPC); 65.5 plays/game; 1.5 TOs/game
Den D: 5.6 yards/play (6.8 YPP/3.4 YPC); 67.8 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game


Dallas at New Orleans (-7) (Sunday Night)

Dal O: 5.6 yards/play (6.6 YPP/3.7 YPC); 60.9 plays/game; 1.2 TOs/game
NO D: 5.5 yards/play (5.8 YPP/4.9 YPC); 60.9 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game

NO O: 6.0 yards/play (7.4 YPP/3.3 YPC); 66.6 plays/game; 1.1 TOs/game
Dal D: 6.0 yards/play (6.7 YPP/4.6 YPC); 70 plays/game; 2.3 TOs/game


Miami (-2.5) at Tampa Bay (Monday Night)

Mia O: 5.0 yards/play (5.4 YPP/4.3 YPC); 63.1 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game
TB D: 5.5 yards/play (6.6 YPP/4.0 YPC); 63.3 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game

TB O: 4.6 yards/play (4.9 YPP/4.1 YPC); 66.4 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
Mia D: 5.2 yards/play (6.0 YPP/4.0 YPC); 71.5 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game