Week 11 Picks Go Here

Week 11 Picks

Ten +2.5 (+100) (1.5 to win 1.5) & ML (+123) (0.5 to win 0.615) - L (-2.0)
Atl -2.5 (-110) (2.2 to win 2.0) - L (-2.2)
Buf -1.5 (-110) (2.2 to win 2.0) - W (+2.0)
Jax +8.5 (-110) (1.1 to win 1.0) - L (-1.1)
Wash +4.5 (-105) (1.575 to win 1.5) & ML (+190) (0.5 to win 0.95) - L (-2.075)
GB +3 (+105) (1.5 to win 1.575) & ML (+170) (0.5 to win 0.85) - L (-2.0)
NE +3 (-105) (2.1 to win 2.0) & ML (+145) (0.5 to win 0.725) - L (-2.6)



Pleaser Round Robin
PLEASER (-6.5 ADDED from current line) Wash -1.5/Buf -5.5 (0.3/1.95)
PLEASER (-6.5 ADDED from current line) Buf -5.5/Atl -5.5 (0.3/1.95)
PLEASER (-6.5 ADDED from current line) Atl -5.5/Wash -1.5 (0.3/1.95)

Week 11 Results: (1-9, -10.675)

*Note - when making two different bets on same team, I will treat it as one win or one loss, unless the results split. Whether you agree with this or not should not matter any. The units won/lost is the important thing. 

Week 1: (6-3, +4.14)

Week 2: (4-4, +0.582)

Week 3: (3-3, +0.212)

Week 4: (7-4, +2.955)

Week 5: (4-5, -2.595)

Week 6: (6-4, +2.555)

Week 7: (4-5, +0.32)

Week 8: (5-4, +3.47)

Week 9:  (7-2, +8.39)
Week 10:  (3-4, -3.058)
Week 11: (1-9, -10.675)

YTD: (50-47, +6.296)

Futures

Ten to win AFC South (+900) - 0.4 to win 3.60 (11/14/13)

Cle to make playoffs (+420) - 0.6 to win 2.52 (9/5/13)

NO to win SB (18/1) - 0.4 to win 7.2 (9/5/13)

NO Over 9 wins (-145) - 1.45 to win 1.00 (9/5/13)

Dal Over 8.5 wins (-105) - 1.05 to win 1.00 (9/5/13)

Car Over 7 wins/Cle Over 6 wins parlay (~+120) - 1.6 to win ~1.98 (9/2/13)

TB Under 7.5 wins (+125) - 1.2 to win 1.5 (9/2/13)

Dez Bryant most receiving yards (+800) - 0.9 to win 7.2 (8/29/13)

Balt not making playoffs (-105) - 1.68 to win 1.6 (8/26/13)

Cin to win SB (30/1) - 0.6 to win 18 (8/16/13)

Cin to win AFC North (+235) - 1.2 to win 2.82 (7/28/13

Week 11 Match-Ups By The Numbers

Week 11 Match-Ups by the Numbers

Adding a few numbers here and there. Still trying to figure out how to apply new data into capping. If you have any ideas, please let me know. I have @hustledouble helping me out right now with the application and potential testing of data such as Yards per Point (the lower the number on offense, the better for the offense, vice versa for defense). I will re-add turnovers/game next week. For some reason, when transferring numbers from one spreadsheet to the other, some stats got jumbled up, and I didn't feel like re-adding them.

YPP = Yards per Pass; YPR = Yards Per Run

Indy -3 at Tenn

Indy O: 5.5 yards/play (6.3 YPP/4.4 YPR); 63.1 plays/game; 14.11 yards/pt
Ten D: 5.2 yards/play (6.1 YPP/4.1 YPR); 63.1 plays/game; 14.98 yards/pt

Ten O: 5.1 yards/play (6.0 YPP/4.0 YPR); 63.2 plays/game; 14.53 yards/pt
Indy D: 5.8 yards/play (7.0 YPP/4.3 YPR); 63.4 plays/game; 17.15 yards/pt


Atl -2.5 at TB

Atl O: 5.6 yards/play (6.4 YPP/3.5 YPR); 61.1 plays/game; 16.42 yards/pt
TB D: 5.3 yards/play (6.4 YPP/3.8 YPR); 62.7 plays/game; 14.33 yards/pt

TB O: 4.6 yards/play (5.0 YPP/4.0 YPR); 65.7 plays/game; 18.47 yards/pt
Atl D: 6.0 yards/play (7.1 YPP/4.6 YPR); 63.1 plays/game; 13.58 yards/pt


NYJ at Buf (-1.5)

NYJ O: 5.0 yards/play (5.8 YPP/4.2 YPR); 65.7 plays/game; 17.64 yards/pt
Buf D: 5.1 yards/play (6.0 YPP/4.0 YPR); 69.6 plays/game; 13.74 yards/pt

Buf O: 4.7 yards/play (5.0 YPP/4.3 YPR); 70.7 plays/game; 16.72 yards/pt
NYJ D: 5.0 yards/play (6.0 YPP/3.1 YPR); 65.1 plays/game; 12.67 yards/pt


Detroit -2 at Pitt

Det O: 6.0 yards/play (7.2 YPP/4.0 YPR); 68.6 plays/game; 15.51 yards/pt
Pit D: 5.2 yards/play (6.1 YPP/4.2 YPR); 62.8 plays/game; 13.56 yards/pt

Pit O: 5.3 yards/play (6.1 YPP/3.6 YPR); 68.6 plays/game; 16.95 yards/pt
Det D: 6.0 yards/play (6.8 YPP/4.5 YPR); 63.2 plays/game; 15.68 yards/pt


Wash at Phil -3.5

Wash O: 5.8 yards/play (6.4 YPP/5.1 YPR); 70.3 plays/game; 16.06 yards/pt
Phil D: 5.6 yards/play (6.5 YPP/4.0 YPR); 74.7 plays/game; 17.09 yards/pt

Phil O: 6.3 yards/play (7.3 YPP/5.1 YPR); 65.7 plays/game; 16.40 yards/pt
Wash D: 6.1 yards/play (7.3 YPP/4.3 YPR); 63.9 plays/game; 12.18 yards/pt


Balt at Chi (-3)

Balt O: 4.5 yards/play (5.6 YPP/2.8 YPR); 68 plays/game; 14.72 yards/pt
Chi D: 6.1 yards/play (7.5 YPP/4.5 YPR); 61.9 plays/game; 13.82 yards/pt

Chi O: 5.9 yards/play (6.7 YPP/4.5 YPR); 63.3 plays/game; 12.95 yards/pt
Balt D: 5.1 yards/play (6.1 YPP/3.7 YPR); 66.9 plays/game; 16.30 yards/pt


Cle at Cin (-5.5)

Cle O: 4.8 yards/play (5.3 YPP/3.7 YPC); 66.6 plays/game; 16.58 yards/pt
Cin D: 4.7 yards/play (5.2 YPP/3.9 YPC); 66.6 plays/game; 16.74 yards/pt

Cin O: 5.4 yards/play (6.6 YPP/3.8 YPC); 69.7 plays/game; 16.18 yards/pt
Cle D: 4.5 yards/play (5.1 YPP/3.6 YPC); 70.0 plays/game; 14.42 yards/pt


Oak at Hou (-7.5)

Oak O: 5.2 yards/play (5.4 YPP/4.9 YPR); 63.6 plays/game; 17.93 yards/pt
Hou D: 4.9 yards/play (5.7 YPP/4.1 YPR); 57.1 plays/game; 10.16 yards/pt

Hou O: 5.3 yards/play (5.9 YPP/4.4 YPR); 70.6 plays/game; 19.92 yards/pt
Oak D: 5.4 yards/play (6.7 YPP/3.7 YPR); 63.4 plays/game; 13.94 yards/pt


Ari -6.5 at Jax

Ari O: 5.1 yards/play (5.9 YPP/4.0 YPR); 61.6 plays/game; 15.23 plays/pt
Jax D: 5.9 yards/play (7.1 YPP/4.6 YPR) 66.1 plays/game; 12.03 plays/pt

Jax O: 4.4 yards/play (5.4 YPP/2.8 YPR); 63 plays/game; 21.79 plays/pt
Ari D: 4.8 yards/play (5.6 YPP/3.5 YPR); 68.2 plays/game; 15.02 plays/pt


SD -1.5 at Mia

SD O: 6.0 yards/play (7.6 YPP/3.8 YPR); 65.8 plays/game; 16.79 yards/pt
Mia D: 5.1 yards/play (6.0 YPP/3.9 YPR); 70.2 plays/game; 15.38 yards/pt

Mia O: 4.9 yards/play (5.3 YPP/4.0 YPR); 62.6 plays/game; 14.17 yards/pt
SD D: 6.4 yards/play (7.5 YPP/4.8 YPR); 61.2 plays/game; 17.56 yards/pt


Min at Sea -12.5

Min O: 5.3 yards/play (5.7 YPP/4.7 YPR); 59.8 plays/game; 12.91 yards/pt
Sea D: 4.6 yards/play (4.9 YPP/4.2 YPR); 62.7 plays/game; 18.18 yards/pt

Sea O: 5.8 yards/play (7.1 YPP/4.6 YPR); 62.3 plays/game; 13.66 yards/pt
Min D: 5.6 yards/play (6.6 YPP/4.0 YPR); 71.9 plays/game; 12.88 yards/pt


GB at NYG -6

GB O: 6.3 yards/play (7.4 YPP/4.8 YPR); 67 plays/game; 15.43 yards/pt
NYG D: 4.8 yards/play (5.6 YPP/3.7 YPR); 68.1 plays/game; 12.21 yards/pt

NYG O: 5.0 yards/play (6.1 YPP/3.2 YPR); 63.2 plays/game; 17.41 yards/pt
GB D: 5.7 yards/play (6.7 YPP/4.2 YPR); 62 plays/game; 14.97 yards/pt


SF at NO -3

SF O: 5.4 yards/play (6.5 YPP/4.5 YPR); 59.6 plays/game; 12.74 yards/pt
NO D: 5.4 yards/play (5.7 YPP/5.0 YPR); 58.9 plays/game; 17.53 yards/pt

NO O: 6.2 yards/play (7.6 YPP/3.8 YPR); 68.1 plays/game; 14.35 yards/pt
SF D: 4.9 yards/play (5.5 YPP/3.9 YPR); 65.2 plays/game; 18.39 yards/pt


KC at Den -8

KC O: 4.8 yards/play (5.2 YPP/4.2 YPR); 66.2 plays/game; 13.28 yards/pt
Den D: 5.5 yards/play (6.8 YPP/3.4 YPR); 67.8 plays/game; 14.18 yards/pt

Den O: 6.4 yards/play (8.3 YPP/3.7 YPR); 71.2 plays/game; 11.13 yards/pt
KC D: 5.1 yards/play (5.2 YPP/5.0 YPR); 63.9 plays/game; 26.50 yards/pt


NE at Car -2.5

NE O: 5.1 yards/play (5.7 YPP/4.4 YPR); 70.3 plays/game; 13.89 yards/pt
Car D: 4.8 yards/play (5.4 YPP/3.8 YPR); 58.8 plays/game; 22.17 yards/pt

Car O: 5.0 yards/play (5.9 YPP/4.0 YPR); 65.3 plays/game; 13.61 yards/pt
NE D: 5.1 yards/play (5.6 YPP/4.3 YPR); 71.4 plays/game; 18.57 yards/pt

The Rise of the Rookie Receiver?

Back in my day...

I have this old-man phrase in my head as I was thinking of rookie running backs and how they've gone (or at least seemed to have gone) from highly-wanted commodities to mid-round fodder in NFL drafts in my lifetime. Given the rule changes that favor explosive passing games, it's not much of a shock to see this happening. (an aside: what's more shocking is the lack of shock for Indianapolis trading a FIRST-ROUND pick for a running back this season)

This year, there's a couple of rookies making noise - Eddie Lacy and Zac Stacy are the first who come to mind. But only those two backs and possibly Le'Veon Bell even have a chance at cracking the 800 yard mark.

A year to year breakdown of rookie tail backs who've ran for 800+ yards (at least 50 yards/team game) shows this trend of their declining value (with highest rookie in parenthesis):

1993: 3 backs (Jerome Bettis 1429)

Edgerrin James

1994: 3 backs (Marshall Faulk 1282)
1995: 4 backs (Curtis Martin 1487)
1996: 2 backs (Eddie George 1368)
1997: 4 backs (Corey Dillon 1129)
1998: 2 backs (Fred Taylor 1223)
1999: 3 backs (Edgerrin James 1553)
2000: 2 backs (Mike Anderson 1487)
2001: 3 backs (LaDainian Tomlinson 1236)
2002: 2 backs (Clinton Portis 1508)
(Total of 28 players, highs ranging from 1129 to 1508)

2003: 1 back (Domanick Williams 1031)
2004: 3 backs (Willis McGahee 1128)
2005: 2 backs (Cadillac Williams 1178)

Alfred Morris

2006: 2 backs (Joseph Addai 1081)
2007: 3 backs (Adrian Peterson 1341)
2008: 4 backs (Matt Forte 1238)
2009: 1 back (Knowshon Moreno 947)
2010: 1 back (LeGarrette Blount 1007)
2011: 2 backs (Ben Tate 942)
2012: 5 backs* (Alfred Morris 1613)
(Total of 24 players, highs ranging from 942 to 1613)
*includes a non-running back (RG3)

Now, the rookie receivers who have broken the 800+ yard barrier in that time:

Randall Moss

1993: 1 (Terry Kirby 874)* (highest WR - James Jett 771)
1994: 2 (Darnay Scott 866)
1995: 3 (Joey Galloway 1039)
1996: 4 (Terry Glenn 1132)
1997: 0 (highest - Rae Carruth 545)
1998: 1 (Randy Moss 1313)
1999: 1 (Kevin Johnson 986)
2000: 0 (highest - Darrell Jackson 713)
2001: 1 (Chris Chambers 883)
2002: 1 (Jeremy Shockey 894)** (highest WR - Antonio Bryant 733)
(Total of 14 players, highs ranging from 545 to 1313)
*running back
**tight end

2003: 2 (Anquan Boldin 1377)

Anquan Boldin

2004: 3 (Michael Clayton 1193)
2005: 0 (highest - Reggie Brown 571)
2006: 2 (Marques Colston 1038)
2007: 1 (Dwayne Bowe 995)
2008: 2 (Eddie Royal 998)
2009: 0 (highest - Hakeem Nicks/Percy Harvin - 790)
2010: 2 (Mike Williams 964)
2011: 3 (AJ Green 1057)
2012: 3 (Justin Blackmon 865)
(Total of 18 players, highs ranging from 571 to 1377)

The numbers aren't completely there yet, but the last three years (with at least 2 receivers gaining 800+ yards) show a potential trend in the making. So far in 2013, there are six players (including tight end Jordan Reed) averaging over 45 receiving yards a game, which would blow any of these previous seasons out of the water.

While there has been a rookie running back with at least 800 yards every season in the past 20 years, there doesn't seem to be as many consistent workhorse running backs coming out of college. One major reason for that could be the NFL mirroring the college game (more two-back systems and much more focus on the passing game than ever before). Last year showed a sudden uptick in big efforts from rookie backs, but will that continue? Ultimately, I think 2012 will be proven to be the exception.

I believe this trend will continue (rising numbers in rookie wideouts and lowered numbers in rookie backs) for the foreseeable future, as the rule changes in the recent past indicate a heavy emphasis on protecting quarterbacks and wide receivers from huge hits.

Week 10 Picks Go Here

Week 10 Picks (So Far)

Min ML (+105) - (1.2 to win 1.26) - W (+1.26)
Green Bay +1.5 - (1.07 to win 1.0) & ML (+109) - (0.5 to win 0.545) - L (-1.57)
Baltimore ML (+105) - (2.0 to win 2.1) - W (+2.10)
Carolina +6.5 - (1.65 to win 1.5) - W (+1.50)
San Diego +7 - (2.2 to win 2.0) - L (-2.20)
Dallas +6.5 - (2.1 to win 2.0) - L (-2.10)
Mia/TB Under 40.5 (0.848/0.8 & Under 37.5 (0.5/0.61) & Under 34.5 (0.4/0.696) & Under 30.5 (0.3/0.927) - L (-2.048)

Week Results - 3-4, -3.058

*Note - when making two different bets on same team, I will treat it as one win or one loss, unless the results split. Whether you agree with this or not should not matter any. The units won/lost is the important thing. 

Week 1: (6-3, +4.14)

Week 2: (4-4, +0.582)

Week 3: (3-3, +0.212)

Week 4: (7-4, +2.955)

Week 5: (4-5, -2.595)

Week 6: (6-4, +2.555)

Week 7: (4-5, +0.32)

Week 8: (5-4, +3.47)

Week 9:  (7-2, +8.39)
Week 10:  (3-4, -3.058)

YTD: (49-38, +16.971)

Week 10 Match-Ups by the Numbers

As many of you who read this know, I like to look at yards/play stats & number of plays to see if there's any advantages on the sides or totals of games. All numbers gathered from pro-football-reference.com:

YPP = yards/pass; YPC = yards/carry


Washington (-2.5) at Minnesota (Thurs Night)

Wash O: 5.9 yards/play (6.5 YPP/5.0 YPC); 69.5 plays/game; 2 TOs/game
Min D: 5.5 yards/play (6.7 YPP/3.8 YPC); 71.3 plays/game; 1.8 TOs/game

Min O: 5.2 yards/play (5.5 YPP/4.8 YPC); 60.8 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
Wash D: 6.1 yards/play (7.3 YPP/4.4 YPC); 65.4 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game


Jacksonville at Tennessee (-11.5)

Jax O: 4.5 yards/play (worst) (5.3 YPP/3.0 YPC); 63.9 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game
Ten D: 5.3 yards/play (6.1 YPP/4.4 YPC); 64 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game

Ten O: 5.1 yards/play (5.9 YPP/4.1 YPC); 62.4 plays/game; 1.1 TOs/game
Jax D: 6.0 yards/play (7.2 YPP/4.8 YPC); 65.6 plays/game; 1.0 TOs/game


Philadelphia at Green Bay (-1.5)

Phil O: 6.2 yards/play (7.2 YPP/5 YPC); 66.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
GB D: 5.5 yards/play (6.5 YPP/4 YPC); 62.5 plays/game; 0.9 TOs/game

GB O: 6.4 yards/play (T-best) (7.5 YPP/5 YPC); 66 plays/game; 1.3 TOs/game
Phil D: 5.6 yards/play (6.5 YPP/4.1 YPC); 74.7 plays/game; 1.7 TOs/game


Buffalo at Pittsburgh (-3)

Buf O: 4.8 yards/play (5.3 YPP/4.3 YPC); 71.4 plays/game; 1.8 TOs/game
Pit D: 5.4 yards/play (6.6 YPP/4.2 YPC); 62.6 plays/game; 0.8 TOs/game

Pit O: 5.4 yards/play (6.3 YPP/3.5 YPC); 63.5 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
Buf D: 5.2 yards/play (6.1 YPP/3.9 YPC); 69.9 plays/game; 1.7 TOs/game


Oakland at NY Giants (-7.5)

Oak O: 5.3 yards/play (5.7 YPP/5.0 YPC); 64.6 plays/game; 1.8 TOs/game
NYG D: 4.9 yards/play (5.8 YPP/3.6 YPC); 69.8 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game

NYG O: 5.2 yards/play (6.3 YPP/3.2 YPC); 63.3 plays/game; 3.1 TOs/game
Oak D: 5.6 yards/play (6.8 YPP/3.8 YPC); 63.5 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game


St. Louis at Indianapolis (-9.5)

StL O: 4.8 yards/play (5.5 YPP/3.8 YPC); 64.3 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
Ind D: 5.7 yards/play (6.7 YPP/4.4 YPC); 64.5 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game

Ind O: 5.5 yards/play (6.1 YPP/4.6 YPC); 62.4 plays/game; 0.8 TOs/game
StL D: 5.7 yards/play (6.9 YPP/4.4 YPC); 60.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game


Seattle (-6.5) at Atlanta

Sea O: 5.6 yards/play (6.8 YPP/4.6 YPC); 61.6 plays/game; 1.7 TOs/game
Atl D: 5.8 yards/play (6.8 YPP/4.5 YPC); 62.4 plays/game; 1.0 TOs/game

Atl O: 5.7 yards/play (6.7 YPP/3.5 YPC); 62 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game
Sea D: 4.6 yards/play (2nd) (5.0 YPP/4.2 YPC); 63.7 plays/game; 2.3 TOs/game


Cincinnati (-1.5) at Baltimore

Cin O: 5.6 yards/play (7.0 YPP/3.7 YPC); 67.8 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game
Bal D: 5.3 yards/play (6.5 YPP/3.7 YPC); 64.4 plays/game; 1.3 TOs/game

Bal O: 4.8 yards/play (6.0 YPP/2.8 YPC - worst); 67.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
Cin D: 4.9 yards/play (5.5 YPP/4.0 YPC); 66.1 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game


Carolina at San Francisco (-6.5)

Car O: 5.1 yards/play (6.2 YPP/4.0 YPC); 65.3 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
SF D: 5.0 yards/play (5.7 YPP/3.9 YPC); 65.1 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game

SF O: 5.7 yards/play (7.1 YPP/4.5 YPC); 60.5 plays/game; 1.5 TOs/game
Car D: 5.0 yards/play (5.8 YPP/3.7 YPC); 59.6 plays/game; 2.4 TOs/game


Houston at Arizona (-2.5)

Hou O: 5.5 yards/play (6.3 YPP/4.5 YPC); 71 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game
Ari D: 5.0 yards/play (5.9 YPP/3.5 YPC); 68.4 plays/game; 2.4 TOs/game

Ari O: 5.1 yards/play (5.8 YPP/4.0 YPC); 61.5 plays/game; 2.3 TOs/game
Hou D: 4.8 yards/play (5.5 YPP/4.2 YPC); 56.5 plays/game; 0.6 TOs/game


Denver (-7) at San Diego

Den O: 6.4 yards/play (T-best) (8.3 YPP/3.7 YPC); 72.6 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
SD D: 6.4 yards/play (worst) (7.4 YPP/4.9 YPC); 61.4 plays/game; 0.6 TOs/game

SD O: 6.2 yards/play (7.8 YPP/3.8 YPC); 65.5 plays/game; 1.5 TOs/game
Den D: 5.6 yards/play (6.8 YPP/3.4 YPC); 67.8 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game


Dallas at New Orleans (-7) (Sunday Night)

Dal O: 5.6 yards/play (6.6 YPP/3.7 YPC); 60.9 plays/game; 1.2 TOs/game
NO D: 5.5 yards/play (5.8 YPP/4.9 YPC); 60.9 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game

NO O: 6.0 yards/play (7.4 YPP/3.3 YPC); 66.6 plays/game; 1.1 TOs/game
Dal D: 6.0 yards/play (6.7 YPP/4.6 YPC); 70 plays/game; 2.3 TOs/game


Miami (-2.5) at Tampa Bay (Monday Night)

Mia O: 5.0 yards/play (5.4 YPP/4.3 YPC); 63.1 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game
TB D: 5.5 yards/play (6.6 YPP/4.0 YPC); 63.3 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game

TB O: 4.6 yards/play (4.9 YPP/4.1 YPC); 66.4 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
Mia D: 5.2 yards/play (6.0 YPP/4.0 YPC); 71.5 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game

Week 9 Picks Go Here

Week 9 Picks (So far)

Mia +3 (-106) - (1.59/1.50) & ML (+140) (0.5/0.7) - W (+2.20)

Ten -3 (+105) - (1.50/1.575) - W (+1.575)

Wash ML (+100) - (1.25/1.25) - W (+1.25)

NYJ +6.5 (-109) - (2.18/2.00) - W (+2.00)

Min +9 (-107) - (1.605/1.5) - W (+1.50)

Pitt +6 (-108) - (1.62/1.5) - L (-1.62)

Hou ML (-103) - (0.515/0.5), Hou -3 (+140) - (0.4/0.56), Hou -6.5 (+230) - (0.4/0.92) - L (-1.315 total)

Chi +10 (-109) - (2.18/2.00) - W (+2.00)

Teaser Chi +17.5/Under 56.5 - (0.8/0.8) - W (+0.8)

(7-2, +8.39 for week) (8-4 if you count all bets *i.e. betting on ML and point spread of same team in same game* separately)
(YTD: 46-34, +20.029) (54-40 based on criteria mentioned above ^^^

*Note - when making two different bets on same team, I will treat it as one win or one loss, unless the results split. Whether you agree with this or not should not matter any. The units won/lost is the important thing. 

Week 1: (6-3, +4.14)

Week 2: (4-4, +0.582)

Week 3: (3-3, +0.212)

Week 4: (7-4, +2.955)

Week 5: (4-5, -2.595)

Week 6: (6-4, +2.555)

Week 7: (4-5, +0.32)

Week 8: (5-4, +3.47)
Week 9:  (7-2, +8.39)

YTD: (46-34, +20.029)

Futures
Cle to make playoffs (+420) - 0.6 to win 2.52 (9/5/13)
NO to win SB (18/1) - 0.4 to win 7.2 (9/5/13)
NO Over 9 wins (-145) - 1.45 to win 1.00 (9/5/13)
Dal Over 8.5 wins (-105) - 1.05 to win 1.00 (9/5/13)
Car Over 7 wins/Cle Over 6 wins parlay (~+120) - 1.6 to win ~1.98 (9/2/13)
TB Under 7.5 wins (+125) - 1.2 to win 1.5 (9/2/13)
Dez Bryant most receiving yards (+800) - 0.9 to win 7.2 (8/29/13)
Balt not making playoffs (-105) - 1.68 to win 1.6 (8/26/13)
Cin to win SB (30/1) - 0.6 to win 18 (8/16/13)
Cin to win AFC North (+235) - 1.2 to win 2.82 (7/28/13)

Week 9 Matchups by the Numbers

Adding Yards/Pass (YPA), Yards/Carry (YPC) and Turnovers/Game (TOs/game) to Weekly Categories

Cincy (-2.5) at Miami (Thursday Night)

Cin O: 5.7 yards/play (7.3 YPA/3.6 YPC); 64.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
Mia D: 5.2 yards/play (6.2 YPA/3.8 YPC); 68.4 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game

Mia O: 4.9 yards/play (5.3 YPA/4.1 YPC); 63.4 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game
Cin D: 4.8 yards/play (5.4 YPA/3.8 YPC); 66.8 plays/game; 1.5 TOs/game


Atlanta at Carolina (-7.5)

Atl O: 5.7 yards/play (6.6 YPA/3.4 YPC); 64 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
Car D: 4.9 yards/play (5.6 YPA/3.7 YPC); 61.3 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game

Car O: 5.1 yards/play (6.2 YPA/4.0 YPC); 64.4 plays/game; 1.3 TOs/game
Atl D: 5.9 yards/play (6.9 YPA/4.6 YPC); 61.1 plays/game; 0.9 TOs/game


Minnesota at Dallas (-10)

Min O: 5.1 yards/play (5.4 YPA/4.6 YPC); 59.7 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
Dal D: 6.0 yards/play (6.9 YPA/4.4 YPC); 70.3 plays/game; 2.4 TOs/game

Dal O: 5.6 yards/play (6.7 YPA/3.7 YPC); 60.6 plays/game; 1.3 TOs/game
Min D: 5.5 yards/play (6.8 YPA/3.8 YPC); 72.4 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game


New Orleans (-5.5) at NY Jets

NO O: 5.9 yards/play (7.5 YPA/3.4 YPC); 66.7 plays/game; 1.0 TOs/game
NYJ D: 4.8 yards/play (5.9 YPA/3.1 YPC); 65.0 plays/game; 0.6 TOs/game

NYJ O: 5.0 yards/play (5.8 YPA/4.0 YPC); 66.6 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
NO D: 5.4 yards/play (5.8 YPA/4.8 YPC); 61.3 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game


Tennessee (NL) at St. Louis

Ten O: 5.0 yards/play (5.9 YPA/3.8 YPC); 62.6 plays/game; 1.0 TOs/game
StL D: 5.7 yards/play (7.0 YPA/4.1 YPC); 60.5 plays/game; 1.5 TOs/game

StL O: 4.8 yards/play (5.5 YPA/3.6 YPC); 63.8 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
Ten D: 5.3 yards/play (6.2 YPA/4.2 YPC); 63.3 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game


Kansas City (-3) at Buffalo

KC O: 4.9 yards/play (5.4 YPA/4.2 YPC); 67.8 plays/game; 1.0 TOs/game
Buf D: 5.3 yards/play (6.3 YPA/3.9 YPC); 71.9 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game

Buf O: 4.7 yards/play (5.2 YPA/4.0 YPC); 70.8 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
KC D: 5.0 yards/play (5.1 YPA/4.7 YPC); 62.3 plays/game; 2.5 TOs/game


San Diego (pick'em) at Washington

SD O: 6.1 yards/play (7.9 YPA/3.8 YPC); 65.9 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
Wsh D: 6.0 yards/play (7.3 YPA/4.4 YPC); 65.7 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game

Wsh O: 5.7 yards/play (6.2 YPA/5.0 YPC); 69.1 plays/game; 2.1 TOs/game
SD D: 6.3 yards/play (7.2 YPA/4.8 YPC); 59.9 plays/game; 0.6 TOs/game


Tampa Bay at Seattle (-17)

TB O: 4.5 yards/play (4.9 YPA/3.8 YPC); 66.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
Sea D: 4.6 yards/play (4.9 YPA/4.0 YPC); 63.5 plays/game; 2.6 TOs/game

Sea O: 5.5 yards/play (6.6 YPA/4.4 YPC); 61.6 plays/game; 1.5 TOs/game
TB D: 5.3 yards/play (6.4 YPA/3.7 YPC); 63.6 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game


Baltimore (-2.5) at Cleveland

Balt O: 4.9 yards/play (6.2 YPA/2.8 YPC); 67.7 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
Cle D: 4.6 yards/play (5.2 YPA/3.7 YPC); 70.4 plays/game; 1.1 TOs/game

Cle O: 4.8 yards/play (5.2 YPA/3.9 YPC); 66.4 plays/game; 1.4 TOs/game
Balt D: 5.4 yards/play (6.5 YPA/3.8 YPC); 63.4 plays/game; 1.3 TOs/game


Pittsburgh at New England (-7)

Pit O: 5.2 yards/play (6.2 YPA/3.3 YPC); 62.1 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game
NE D: 4.9 yards/play (5.4 YPA/4.2 YPC); 71.3 plays/game; 2.0 TOs/game

NE O: 4.7 yards/play (5.1 YPA/4.2 YPC); 70.2 plays/game; 1.1 TOs/game
Pit D: 4.9 yards/play (5.8 YPA/4.0 YPC); 61.4 plays/game; 0.7 TOs./game


Philadelphia (NL) at Oakland

Phil O: 5.9 yards/play (6.6 YPA/5.0 YPC); 67.8 plays/game; 1.8 TOs/game
Oak D: 5.1 yards/play (6.2 YPA/3.6 YPC); 64.4 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game

Oak O: 5.2 yards/play (5.6 YPA; 4.8 YPC); 60.7 plays/game; 1.7 TOs/game
Phil D: 5.5 yards/play (6.6 YPA; 3.7 YPC); 72.5 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game


Indianapolis (-2.5) at Houston (Sunday Night)

Ind O: 5.5 yards/play (6.2 YPA/4.5 YPC); 63 plays/game; 0.8 TOs/game
Hou D: 4.8 yards/play (5.4 YPA/4.1 YPC); 56.3 plays/game; 0.7 TOs/game

Hou O: 5.3 yards/play (5.9 YPA/4.5 YPC); 71.4 plays/game; 2.3 TOs/game
Ind D: 5.5 yards/play (6.2 YPA/4.5 YPC); 64.0 plays/game; 1.9 TOs/game


Chicago at Green Bay (-10.5)

Chi O: 6.1 yards/play (7.0 YPA/4.7 YPC); 60.6 plays/game; 1.6 TOs/game
GB D: 5.5 yards/play (6.5 YPA/3.7 YPC); 60.7 plays/game; 1.0 TOs/game

GB O: 6.5 yards/play (7.8 YPA/4.8 YPC); 67.6 plays/game; 1.3 TOs/game
Chi D: 6.2 yards/play (8.1 YPA/4.0 YPC); 63 plays/game; 2.6 TOs/game